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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowLowHigh
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage1-2 h45-90 minHalf day
Participantsdifferent
4-122-82-83-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanStress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis
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