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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Product Strategy DIBB |  Operations ALPEN Method |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 1-2 h | 10-20 min daily | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 2-8 | 1 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |