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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Product Strategy DIBB |  Operations ALPEN Method |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 1-2 h | 10-20 min daily | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 2-8 | 1 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |