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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Option Framing.
Decision Making
Option Framing
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.In early decisions, alternatives are often still vague, incomplete, or blended together. Option Framing brings every possibility into a comparable form and makes visible which variant actually fits the question.For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage1-4 Wochen45-120 min30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
4-126-30 Experten3-81-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesOption Frames, Assumption Notes, Comparable Shortlist, Decision InputsDecision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
OptionsDecision framingStrategyComparison
DecisionTreeOptions
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