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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Gap Analysis method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
GAP Analysis
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage1-4 Wochen15-60 min je Zyklus1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
4-126-30 Experten1-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesGap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes
Tags1 shared
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
StrategyAnalysisPlanning
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