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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |  Decision Making OODA Loop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 1-4 Wochen | Half day | 15-60 min je Zyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Leverage Map, Action Strategy | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates |
Tags1 shared | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy |