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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes |
Tags1 shared | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyAnalysisPlanning | ChangeDecisionStrategy |