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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis
Gap Analysis method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
GAP Analysis
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving.GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighLowMedium
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage1-4 Wochen45-90 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
4-126-30 Experten3-122-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesForce Field Map, Change Levers, Risk NotesGap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes
Tags1 shared
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ChangeDecisionStrategy
StrategyAnalysisPlanning
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