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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of the Consensus Workshop working structure.
Facilitation
Consensus Workshop
Paper illustration of the Lightning Decision Jam working structure.
Facilitation
Decision Jam
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When a group needs a solid decision without outvoting individual factions, a Consensus Workshop creates a negotiable common ground. It makes agreement, reservations, and open tensions discussable at the same time.When a decision is stuck, Decision Jam loosens the knot through structured separation of problem, idea, and selection. The format creates movement without jumping prematurely at the first seemingly elegant answer.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighMediumLow
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage1-4 Wochen1-3 h60-90 min
Participantsdifferent
4-126-30 Experten5-304-10
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesConsensus Clusters, Theme Titles, Priority AreasProblem Cluster, Prioritized Challenge, Experiment
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
FacilitationConsensusWorkshopAlignment
FacilitationDecisionProblem solvingWorkshop
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