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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Paper illustration of Value Chain Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Value Chain Analysis
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario.Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list.
Complexitysame
HighHighHighHigh
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage1-4 WochenHalf dayHalf day
Participantsdifferent
4-126-30 Experten3-83-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesStress Test Report, Action Plan per ScenarioValue Chain Map, Lever List
Tags1 shared
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis
StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis
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