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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Operations ALPEN Method |  Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 1-4 Wochen | 10-20 min daily | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 6-30 Experten | 1 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |