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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Decision Tree |  Product Discovery MVP Test Matrix |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. | When several minimal variants compete to answer the same question, it makes comparing and choosing between them cleaner. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Test Matrix and a Test Plan. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 30-90 min | 45-75 min | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 1-6 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List | Test Matrix, Test Plan | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | DecisionTreeOptions | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryOptions | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |