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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Gap Analysis method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
GAP Analysis
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage30-90 min1-4 Wochen1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
4-121-66-30 Experten2-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsDecision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesGap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
DecisionTreeOptions
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
StrategyAnalysisPlanning
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