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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Decision Tree |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 30-90 min | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 1-6 | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | DecisionTreeOptions | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ChangeDecisionStrategy |