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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |  Systems Thinking Soft Systems Methodology |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. | Soft Systems Methodology helps explore unclear or politically charged problems systematically. Instead of forcing a quick answer, the method builds a shared understanding of perspectives and room for action. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 60-180 min | 0.5-3 Tage | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 4-20 | 5-15 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes | Rich Picture, Root Definitions, Conceptual Models, Change Agenda | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ComplexitySensemakingDecision | Soft systemsComplexitySensemakingSystems thinking | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |