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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |  Operations ALPEN Method |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 60-180 min | 10-20 min daily | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 4-20 | 1 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ComplexitySensemakingDecision | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations | SensemakingDecisionRationale |