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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Paper illustration for Change Analysis.
Operations
Change Analysis
Paper illustration of Family Tree Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Family Tree Analysis
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise.For a series of incidents with a similar pattern, the method arranges individual events as branches of a common origin. It makes visible which conditions keep recurring.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage2-4 h45-120 min2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
4-122-62-62-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action BacklogChange Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action ListFamily Tree Diagram, Pattern Notes, Systemic Measures
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
Root causeSafetyIncident
ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison
Root causePatternsIncidentSystemic
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