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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | High | High |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 45-90 min | Half day | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 2-8 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Value Chain Map, Lever List | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis |