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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Gap Analysis method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
GAP Analysis
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMediumLow
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage45-90 min1-3 h1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
4-122-82-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanGap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk NotesDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
StrategyAnalysisPlanning
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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