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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage45-60 min20-35 min1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
4-122-81-52-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingTest Card with a pre-set thresholdDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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