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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |  Product Strategy Impact Mapping |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. | When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 1-3 h | 45-90 min | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 1-8 | 3-8 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale | Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery Options | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | SensemakingDecisionRationale | OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |