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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |  Product Strategy Impact Mapping |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. | When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 1-3 h | 45-90 min | 60-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 1-8 | 3-8 | 4-20 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale | Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery Options | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | SensemakingDecisionRationale | OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning | ComplexitySensemakingDecision |