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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumHighLow
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage1-3 h1-4 Wochen1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
4-121-86-30 Experten2-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsArgument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision RationaleExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
SensemakingDecisionRationale
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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