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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on.For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage1-3 h30-90 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
4-121-81-66-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsArgument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision RationaleDecision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
SensemakingDecisionRationale
DecisionTreeOptions
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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