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Criterion
Runbook workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Runbook
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Purposedifferent
For recurring operational tasks or incidents, the method keeps solid action logic ready. It reduces uncertainty when time pressure, role changes, or rare situations demand fast access.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
20-60 min10-30 min je Item15-45 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
1-41-81-83-10
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Runbook, Checklist, Escalation PathThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesFMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation Actions
Tagsno overlap
OperationsReliabilityDocumentation
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause
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