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Criterion
Paper illustration for Risk Storming.
Architecture
Risk Storming
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Purposedifferent
Helps clarify architecture context, options, and consequences in concrete terms. It organizes technical context, alternatives, and consequences. The result is captured as an Annotated Diagram, a Prioritized Risk List, and an Action Backlog.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
60-90 min45-90 min20–45 min1-2 Wochen pro Iteration
Participantsdifferent
4-122-8Small cross-functional group2-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Annotated Diagram, Prioritized Risk List, Action BacklogAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report
Tagsno overlap
RiskArchitectureWorkshopValidation
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
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