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| Criterion |  Decision Making Risk Matrix |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Delivery Cost of Delay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When a project faces many possible disruptions, it quickly becomes unclear which risks deserve attention first. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Risk Matrix and a Top Risk List. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | High | High |
Timedifferent | 30-60 min | 45-90 min | 2-4 h | 90-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-8 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Risk Matrix, Top Risk List | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionPrioritizationAssessment | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision |