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Criterion
Red Teaming method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Red Teaming
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Purposedifferent
For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 h20-35 min45-90 min1-2 Wochen pro Iteration
Participantsdifferent
3-81-52-82-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Challenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation PlanTest Card with a pre-set thresholdAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionSensemaking
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
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