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| Criterion |  Decision Making Red Teaming |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h | 1-4 Wochen | Half day | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Challenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation Plan | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Value Chain Map, Lever List | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionSensemaking | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis | SensemakingDecisionRationale |