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| Criterion |  Decision Making Red Teaming |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h | 45-90 min | 60-180 min | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 2-8 | 4-20 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Challenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation Plan | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionSensemaking | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | ComplexitySensemakingDecision | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |