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| Criterion |  Delivery RAID Log |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as a RAID Log and a source for status reporting. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 30 min Setup, dann laufend | 20–45 min | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-3 maintaining, briefing for everyone | Small cross-functional group | 2-6 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | RAID Log, Status Report Source | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | RiskTrackingStakeholdersGovernance | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |