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| Criterion |  Delivery RAID Log |  Agile NoEstimates |  Agile Ideal Days |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as a RAID Log and a source for status reporting. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30 min Setup, dann laufend | laufend | 15-60 min | 15-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-3 maintaining, briefing for everyone | 2-12 | 2-9 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | RAID Log, Status Report Source | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity Caveats | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | RiskTrackingStakeholdersGovernance | EstimationForecastingFlow | EstimationEffortAgile | EstimationUncertaintyRisk |