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Criterion
Paper illustration of RAID Log with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Delivery
RAID Log
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as a RAID Log and a source for status reporting.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
30 min Setup, dann laufend60-120 min2-4 h45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
1-3 maintaining, briefing for everyone2-83-82-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
RAID Log, Status Report SourceConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
RiskTrackingStakeholdersGovernance
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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