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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowLowHigh
Timedifferent
20–45 min30-90 min1-2 h0.5-2 Tage
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group1-102-84-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logVUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning PlanDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportScenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
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