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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Time Blocking
Operations
Time Blocking
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.With a calendar that grows on request, the method makes available time explicit again. It combines appointments, focus work, and buffer into a more realistic day structure.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.
Complexitysame
LowLowLowLow
Timedifferent
20–45 min15-30 min Planung, laufend45-90 min10-20 min daily
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group12-81
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logBlocked Calendar, Capacity View, Focus PlanAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
PlanningTime managementFocus
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
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