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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of System Dynamics Simulation with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
System Dynamics Simulation
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.System Dynamics Simulation makes assumptions about time, delay, and feedback testable through experiments. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a simulation model and scenario reports.When an initiative stalls, the limit often lies not in the idea but in hard or soft boundary conditions. Constraint Analysis separates these limits and shows which of them can actually be shaped.A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLowLow
Timedifferent
20–45 minMehrere Tage bis Wochen30-90 min20-45 min
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group1-5 Modellierende, Stakeholder asynchron2-81-10
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logSimulation Model, Scenario ReportsConstraint List, Hard/Soft Classification, Option Impact Notes, Decision BoundariesBehavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
Systems thinkingDynamicsSimulationAnalysis
ConstraintsDecisionPlanningOptions
Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics
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