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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
20–45 min1-5 Tage1-2 Wochen pro Iteration1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional groupNutzertraffic2-61-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NotePrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results ReportExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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