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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Root Cause Analysis.
Operations
Root Cause Analysis
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When a problem keeps recurring and the cause stays unclear, the method exposes the underlying mechanism. It separates symptom, guess, and robust explanation from one another.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHighHigh
Timedifferent
20–45 min1-4 h2-6 h2-8 h
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group3-83-102-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logProblem Statement, Cause Hypotheses, Confirmed Causes, Action PlanEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective ActionsProblem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
Root causeProblem solvingQualityIncident
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations
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