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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper notes move from an inbox to action, project and calendar collections.
Operations
Getting Things Done
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.With many open commitments and ideas in daily life, a reliable external storage system emerges. The method relieves the mind so priority and context don't have to compete in memory.For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
20–45 min1-2 h Setup, laufend30-90 min10-20 min daily
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group11-61
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logAction Lists, Project List, Review RoutineDecision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
ProductivityPlanningTasksExecution
DecisionTreeOptions
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
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