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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.When an initiative stalls, the limit often lies not in the idea but in hard or soft boundary conditions. Constraint Analysis separates these limits and shows which of them can actually be shaped.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLowHigh
Timedifferent
20–45 min2-6 h30-90 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group3-82-83-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control ActionsConstraint List, Hard/Soft Classification, Option Impact Notes, Decision BoundariesCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
RiskRoot causeSafety
ConstraintsDecisionPlanningOptions
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
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