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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration of VRIO Framework with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
VRIO Framework
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.The VRIO Framework rates resources and capabilities on whether they are Valuable, Rare, Inimitable, and Organized. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a VRIO table and strategic actions.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
20–45 min60-120 min90-180 min1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group2-83-62-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsVRIO Table, Strategic ActionsDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
StrategyDiagnosisBusiness modelCapability
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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