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| Criterion |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Strategy KPI Tree |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When metrics across the organization drift apart, it arranges drivers and effects under one shared logic. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a KPI tree and owner list. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 20–45 min | 1-4 Wochen | 90-180 min initial, dann laufend |
Participantsdifferent | Small cross-functional group | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | KPI Tree, Owner List |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | MetricsStrategyAlignmentMeasurement |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
