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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of a Business Model Canvas with nine connected compartments, a few notes and symbols for customers, delivery and economic relationships.
Business Strategy
Business Model Canvas
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins.A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
20–45 min1-4 Wochen1-2 hHalf day
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group6-30 Experten2-83-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesBusiness Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business HypothesesStress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Business modelStrategyValueInnovation
StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis
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