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| Criterion |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Decision Making Decision Tree |  Product Discovery Test Card |  Product Discovery MVP Test Matrix |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. | When several minimal variants compete to answer the same question, it makes comparing and choosing between them cleaner. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Test Matrix and a Test Plan. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 20–45 min | 30-90 min | 20-35 min | 45-75 min |
Participantsdifferent | Small cross-functional group | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List | Test Card with a pre-set threshold | Test Matrix, Test Plan |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | DecisionTreeOptions | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryOptions |