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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Change Analysis.
Operations
Change Analysis
Paper illustration for Root Cause Analysis.
Operations
Root Cause Analysis
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise.When a problem keeps recurring and the cause stays unclear, the method exposes the underlying mechanism. It separates symptom, guess, and robust explanation from one another.For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
20–45 min45-120 min1-4 h2-8 h
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group2-63-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logChange Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action ListProblem Statement, Cause Hypotheses, Confirmed Causes, Action PlanProblem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison
Root causeProblem solvingQualityIncident
Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations
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