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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Causal Loop Diagram workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Systems Thinking
Causal Loop Diagram
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.A Causal Loop Diagram makes feedback, reinforcement, and balance in a system legible. It uncovers side effects and self-reinforcement that stay hidden in linear explanations.
Complexitydifferent
LowMedium
Timedifferent
20–45 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group2-8
Formatsame
WorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logCausal Loop Diagram, Feedback Notes, Leverage Points
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
FeedbackSystems thinkingCausalityDynamics
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Stock and Flow Diagram method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Stock and Flow Diagram
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis