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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of a Business Model Canvas with nine connected compartments, a few notes and symbols for customers, delivery and economic relationships.
Business Strategy
Business Model Canvas
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of a Strategy Canvas with several value curves
Business Strategy
Blue Ocean Strategy Canvas
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.The Blue Ocean Strategy Canvas shows how an offering is positioned relative to the market. Differentiation thereby becomes tangible in value factors instead of merely being claimed.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
20–45 min1-2 h1-4 Wochen2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group2-86-30 Experten3-10
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logBusiness Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business HypothesesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesStrategy Canvas, Value Curve, ERRC Actions
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
Business modelStrategyValueInnovation
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
StrategyPositioningInnovationValue
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