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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Lean Startup with its method-specific working model.
Innovation
Lean Startup
Paper illustration of a Lean Canvas with nine fields, notes, and one highlighted learning risk.
Product Strategy
Lean Canvas
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight.When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
20–45 min45-60 minWochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group2-82-81-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingHypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decisionLean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment Backlog
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
LeanStartupValidationMVP
StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model
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