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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
20–45 min45-60 min2-4 hMehrere Tage bis Wochen
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group2-82-62-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action BacklogMORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic Recommendations
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
Root causeSafetyIncident
Root causeSafetySystemicIncident
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