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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Paper illustration for Eat the Frog
Operations
Eat the Frog
Paper illustration of a calibrated five-by-five risk matrix with response cards.
Decision Making
Risk Matrix
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.The method protects energy and attention for the task that creates the largest progress and is often postponed.When a project faces many possible disruptions, it quickly becomes unclear which risks deserve attention first. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Risk Matrix and a Top Risk List.
Complexitysame
LowLowLowLow
Timedifferent
20–45 min10-20 min daily15-90 min daily30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group113-10
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesPriority Task, Completion Note, Daily FocusRisk Matrix, Top Risk List
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
PrioritizationProductivityFocusExecution
RiskDecisionPrioritizationAssessment
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